Vistra Corp. · Electric Services

VST

Low riskAI: Power and coolingNext report: Around Nov 5 (est.)

View price ↗

The short version

A profitable company with shrinking sales. Institutions are adding.

Going well

Profitable
Brings in more cash than it spends
Buying back shares: share count down 18% in 3 years

Watch out for

High debt: 3.34x equity

Money moves

Insiders sold $6.9M in the last 30 days, all through pre-planned sales
Institutions added 2.7% to their holdings in the quarter ending June 2026 (823 bought, 530 sold)
Held by George Soros (Soros Fund), Ray Dalio (Bridgewater), David Tepper (Appaloosa)

Facts from SEC filings, not a recommendation.

What the price means

Price as of Oct 26

$141.77+1.1% that day

Company value: $47.6B; Share price times all shares
Price vs profit (P/E): 23.9x; You pay about $24 for each $1 of yearly profit
Price vs sales: 2.5x; Company value is 2.5 times a year of sales
Dividend yield: 0.6%; Yearly dividend as a share of today's price
Cash vs value: 1%; Cash as a share of company value
Debt vs value: 36%; Debt as a share of company value

From VST's last IEX trade and its SEC filings (profits and sales over the last four quarters). A starting point for research, not a verdict.

The business over time

Last 12 quarters, from SEC filings

Sales, Jun '26

$4.0B-5.5% vs a year earlier

Sep '23Tap a barJun '26

Last 12 months: $19.2B, up 3.8% from the 12 months before. Over 5 years, sales grew about 9.2% a year.

What the price assumes

Your guesses, our math

Move the sliders to your own view of VST. Starting points are the company's recent numbers.

Sales growth+4% a yearRecently: +3.8% a yearProfit margin12%Last 12 months: 11.6%P/E at the end24xToday: 23.9x. Many steady companies trade at 12x to 25xShare count change-5% a yearBelow zero means buybacks; above zero means new shares (dilution)

Sales in 5 years$23.4B

Profit in 5 years$2.8B

Price these guesses point to$259.21+83% vs $141.77 todayAbout +13% a year, before dividends

What today's price needs: with a 12% margin and a 24x P/E, sales could shrink about 7.8% a year for 5 years and still match today's price.

Simple math on your guesses, not a forecast or a price target. Real results depend on many things these sliders leave out.

Price

Price chart by TradingView.

Business quality

The checklist Warren Buffett-style investors use. Annual numbers for 2025.

3/6Mixed

PassReturn on equity 15%+Earns a lot on the money owners have in the business.17.7%
MissDebt under half of equityNot relying on borrowed money.3.34x equity
MissNet margin 10%+Keeps at least 10 cents of profit from each dollar of sales.5.3%
MissProfitable every yearSteady profits, not one good year.5 of 9 years
PassFree cash flow positiveBrings in more cash than it spends to run and grow.$1.3B
PassShare count not growingNot diluting owners. Falling means buybacks.-18.2% in 3 years

Revenue: $17.7B; +3.0% vs prior year
5-year growth: +9.2%/yr; revenue, per year
Total debt: $17.0B; 3.34x equity
Current ratio: 0.78x; short-term assets / bills due

From annual reports filed with the SEC. Not in this company's SEC data, so not scored: gross margin 40%+. A checklist is a starting point for research, not a verdict.

Latest quarter

Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026

Reported Aug 7

Revenue: $4.0B; -5.5% YoY
EPS: $0.76; vs $0.81
Op. margin: 13.8%; +1.7 pts
Free cash flow: $334.0M
Share count: -1.8%; vs a year ago

Insider rating

Last 90 days

43Mixed

Pre-planned sales of $6.9M (weaker signal)

50 is neutral. Buying by more insiders, top executives and bigger stakes raises it. Selling lowers it; pre-planned sales count less.

Weekly insider trend

13 weeks agoBoughtSoldThis week

Filing buzz

Last 7 days vs normal

0/ 100

This week: 0
Normal week: 1.5
vs normal: 0.0x

SEC filings of any kind. 50 means a normal week.

Institutional ownership

Accumulating+2.7%

Institutions added 2.7% to their holdings. 823 bought, 530 sold.

Shares held by institutions284.7M

Sep '24Jun '26

Safety check

From SEC filings

Share count growthYearly rate, last 3 years

-3.0%

Cash runwayAt last year's cash burn

Cash flow positive

Debt to equityLatest balance sheet: debt compared with what owners have

3.6x · $19.6B debt

Shares outstandingLatest reported

336M

Why low risk

High debt: 3.57x equity

Earnings reports

Last 12

Next reportAround Nov 5 (est.)Estimated from the same quarter last year

Results filedAug 7
Results filedMay 7
Results filedFeb 26
Results filedNov 6, 2025
Results filedAug 7, 2025

Flags and big holders

Offerings 6 months, flags 12 months, holders 90 days

Offering prospectusSep 10 · View filing ↗Offering New 5%+ holder (passive)Aug 7 · View filing ↗Big holder

Insider trades

Open-market buys and sells, last 90 days

Bought$00 insiders

Sold$6.9M2 insiders, 2 pre-planned

Insider	Trade	Shares	Avg price	Value	Owns after	Date
Kristopher E. MoldovanEVP and CFO	Sell	20K	$165.00	$3.3M	179K	Oct 7Filing ↗
-10% of their holdings Held via Moldovan Family Living Trust UAD 10/08/2025 Pre-planned sale (10b5-1) Filed 1 day after
Scott A HudsonEVP & President Vistra Retail	Sell	22K	$160.14	$3.6M	309K	Oct 6Filing ↗
-6.7% of their holdings Pre-planned sale (10b5-1) Filed 1 day after

"Owns after" is the insider's holding right after the trade. Pre-planned (10b5-1) sales are set up months ahead, a weaker signal.

Latest filings

Straight from SEC EDGAR

SoldKristopher E. MoldovanEVP and CFO

20,000 shares at $165.00 · $3.3M

-10% of holdings
Now owns 179,044 shares
Pre-planned sale (10b5-1)
Held by Moldovan Family Living Trust UAD 10/08/2025
Filed 1 day after trade

Oct 7Form 4 ↗

Planned insider saleOct 7 · Form 144 ↗

SoldScott A HudsonEVP & President Vistra Retail

22,222 shares at $160.14 · $3.6M

-7% of holdings
Now owns 308,915 shares
Pre-planned sale (10b5-1)
Filed 1 day after trade

Oct 6Form 4 ↗

Planned insider saleOct 6 · Form 144 ↗Major agreementOct 5 · Form 8-K ↗Major agreementSep 24 · Form 8-K ↗Offering prospectusSep 14 · Form 424B2 ↗FWPSep 11 · Form FWP ↗Offering prospectusSep 10 · Form 424B5 ↗

SoldScott A HudsonEVP & President Vistra Retail

44,444 shares at $151.82 avg ($150.97 to $152.56) · $6.7M

-12% of holdings
Now owns 331,137 shares
Pre-planned sale (10b5-1)
3 transactions
Filed 2 days after trade

Sep 8Form 4 ↗

SoldKristopher E. MoldovanEVP and CFO

20,000 shares at $151.03 · $3.0M

-9% of holdings
Now owns 199,044 shares
Pre-planned sale (10b5-1)
Held by Moldovan Family Living Trust UAD 10/08/2025
Filed 2 days after trade

Sep 8Form 4 ↗

Shelf offering registrationSep 9 · Form S-3ASR ↗Planned insider saleSep 8 · Form 144 ↗Planned insider saleSep 8 · Form 144 ↗

BoughtJames A BurkePresident and CEO, Director

6,665 shares at $135.49 avg ($135.25 to $135.99) · $903K

+1% of holdings
Now owns 1,146,352 shares
Held by JAMEB, LP, a limited partnership jointly owned by Reporting Person and his spouse
2 transactions
Filed 1 day after trade

Sep 1Form 4 ↗

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. For informational purposes. Not investment advice.

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