Mueller Water Products, Inc. · Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products

MWA

Low riskNext report: Around Nov 5 (est.)

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The short version

A high-quality, profitable business with steady sales. Insiders and institutions are both adding.

Going well

Profitable every year for 10 years
Brings in more cash than it spends
High return on equity: 21%

Money moves

An insider bought $30K of shares with their own money in the last 30 days
Institutions added 2% to their holdings in the quarter ending June 2026 (211 bought, 195 sold)
Held by Ray Dalio (Bridgewater)

Facts from SEC filings, not a recommendation.

What the price means

Price as of Oct 26

$22.47+0.9% that day

Latest insider buy: A director bought at $21.75 on Oct 7. The stock is now $22.47, +3.3% since.

Company value: $3.5B; Share price times all shares
Price vs profit (P/E): 15.8x; You pay about $16 for each $1 of yearly profit
Price vs sales: 2.4x; Company value is 2.4 times a year of sales
Dividend yield: 1.2%; Yearly dividend as a share of today's price
Cash vs value: 14%; Cash as a share of company value
Debt vs value: 13%; Debt as a share of company value

From MWA's last IEX trade and its SEC filings (profits and sales over the last four quarters). A starting point for research, not a verdict.

The business over time

Last 12 quarters, from SEC filings

Sales, Jun '26

$395.9M+4.1% vs a year earlier

Sep '23Tap a barJun '26

Last 12 months: $1.5B, up 5.9% from the 12 months before. Over 5 years, sales grew about 8.2% a year.

What the price assumes

Your guesses, our math

Move the sliders to your own view of MWA. Starting points are the company's recent numbers.

Sales growth+6% a yearRecently: +5.9% a yearProfit margin15%Last 12 months: 15.0%P/E at the end16xToday: 15.8x. Many steady companies trade at 12x to 25xShare count change0% a yearBelow zero means buybacks; above zero means new shares (dilution)

Sales in 5 years$2.0B

Profit in 5 years$297M

Price these guesses point to$30.43+35% vs $22.47 todayAbout +6.3% a year, before dividends

What today's price needs: with a 15% margin and a 16x P/E, sales could shrink about 0.2% a year for 5 years and still match today's price.

Simple math on your guesses, not a forecast or a price target. Real results depend on many things these sliders leave out.

Price

Price chart by TradingView.

Business quality

The checklist Warren Buffett-style investors use. Annual numbers for 2025.

6/7Strong

PassReturn on equity 15%+Earns a lot on the money owners have in the business.21.4%
PassDebt under half of equityNot relying on borrowed money.0.46x equity
PassNet margin 10%+Keeps at least 10 cents of profit from each dollar of sales.13.4%
PassProfitable every yearSteady profits, not one good year.10 of 10 years
PassFree cash flow positiveBrings in more cash than it spends to run and grow.$219.3M
PassShare count not growingNot diluting owners. Falling means buybacks.-0.3% in 3 years
MissGross margin 40%+Pricing power: sells for well above what it costs to make.36.1%

Revenue: $1.4B; +8.7% vs prior year
5-year growth: +8.2%/yr; revenue, per year
Total debt: $452.3M; 0.46x equity
Current ratio: 4.02x; short-term assets / bills due

From annual reports filed with the SEC. A checklist is a starting point for research, not a verdict.