WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. · Silver Ores

HCC

Low riskNext report: Around Nov 4 (est.)

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The short version

A profitable company with growing sales. Institutions are adding.

Going well

Sales up 71% in the latest quarter vs a year ago
Profitable
Brings in more cash than it spends

Watch out for

Revenue down 14.1% from the year before

Money moves

No insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
Institutions added 11% to their holdings in the quarter ending June 2026 (181 bought, 165 sold)
Held by Ray Dalio (Bridgewater)

Facts from SEC filings, not a recommendation.

What the price means

Price as of Oct 26

$85.19-0.7% that day

Company value: $4.5B; Share price times all shares
Price vs profit (P/E): 20.5x; You pay about $21 for each $1 of yearly profit
Price vs sales: 2.7x; Company value is 2.7 times a year of sales
Dividend yield: 0.4%; Yearly dividend as a share of today's price
Cash vs value: 7%; Cash as a share of company value
Debt vs value: 3%; Debt as a share of company value

From HCC's last IEX trade and its SEC filings (profits and sales over the last four quarters). A starting point for research, not a verdict.

The business over time

Last 12 quarters, from SEC filings

Sales, Jun '26

$509.7M+71% vs a year earlier

Sep '23Tap a barJun '26

Last 12 months: $1.7B, up 37% from the 12 months before. Over 5 years, sales grew about 11% a year.

What the price assumes

Your guesses, our math

Move the sliders to your own view of HCC. Starting points are the company's recent numbers.

Sales growth+30% a yearRecently: +37% a yearProfit margin13%Last 12 months: 13.0%P/E at the end21xToday: 20.5x. Many steady companies trade at 12x to 25xShare count change+1% a yearBelow zero means buybacks; above zero means new shares (dilution)

Sales in 5 years$6.2B

Profit in 5 years$811M

Price these guesses point to$307.01+260% vs $85.19 todayAbout +29% a year, before dividends

What today's price needs: with a 13% margin and a 21x P/E, sales would have to grow about 0.6% a year for 5 years just to match today's price.

Simple math on your guesses, not a forecast or a price target. Real results depend on many things these sliders leave out.

Price

Price chart by TradingView.

Business quality

The checklist Warren Buffett-style investors use. Annual numbers for 2025.

2/6Weak

MissReturn on equity 15%+Earns a lot on the money owners have in the business.2.7%
PassDebt under half of equityNot relying on borrowed money.0.07x equity
MissNet margin 10%+Keeps at least 10 cents of profit from each dollar of sales.4.4%
MissProfitable every yearSteady profits, not one good year.8 of 10 years
PassFree cash flow positiveBrings in more cash than it spends to run and grow.$229.2M
MissShare count not growingNot diluting owners. Falling means buybacks.+1.7% in 3 years

Revenue: $1.3B; -14.1% vs prior year
5-year growth: +10.8%/yr; revenue, per year
Total debt: $154.3M; 0.07x equity
Current ratio: 3.19x; short-term assets / bills due

From annual reports filed with the SEC. Not in this company's SEC data, so not scored: gross margin 40%+. A checklist is a starting point for research, not a verdict.