Green Plains Inc. · Industrial Organic Chemicals

GPRE

Moderate riskNext report: Nov 5 (confirmed)

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The short version

A company still losing money with shrinking sales. Institutions are adding.

Watch out for

Losing money
Share count growing 6.7% a year
Revenue down 14.9% from the year before

Money moves

No insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
Institutions added 6.1% to their holdings in the quarter ending June 2026 (115 bought, 102 sold)

Facts from SEC filings, not a recommendation.

What the price means

Price as of Oct 26

$14.03+0.4% that day

Company value: $983M; Share price times all shares
Price vs profit (P/E): 8.7x; You pay about $9 for each $1 of yearly profit
Price vs sales: 0.54x; Company value is 0.54 times a year of sales
Cash vs value: 19%; Cash as a share of company value
Debt vs value: 38%; Debt as a share of company value

From GPRE's last IEX trade and its SEC filings (profits and sales over the last four quarters). A starting point for research, not a verdict.

The business over time

Last 12 quarters, from SEC filings

Sales, Jun '26

$446.2M-19% vs a year earlier

Sep '23Tap a barJun '26

Last 12 months: $1.8B, down 24% from the 12 months before. Over 5 years, sales grew about 1.7% a year.

What the price assumes

Your guesses, our math

Move the sliders to your own view of GPRE. Starting points are the company's recent numbers.

Sales growth-10% a yearRecently: -24% a yearProfit margin7%Last 12 months: 6.8%P/E at the end9xToday: 8.7x. Many steady companies trade at 12x to 25xShare count change+7% a yearBelow zero means buybacks; above zero means new shares (dilution)

Sales in 5 years$1.1B

Profit in 5 years$76M

Price these guesses point to$6.92-51% vs $14.03 todayAbout -13% a year, before dividends

What today's price needs: with a 7% margin and a 9x P/E, sales would have to grow about 3.7% a year for 5 years just to match today's price.

Simple math on your guesses, not a forecast or a price target. Real results depend on many things these sliders leave out.

Price

Price chart by TradingView.

Word of mouth

Updated daily

People looking up the company, yesterday: 1.3x normal; 8 views vs about 6 on a usual day

Forum talk counts mentions of GPRE in popular online stock forums, a slice of the internet rather than all of it. Company lookups show interest in the company itself, which can come from news that isn't about the stock. Attention isn't quality.

Business quality

The checklist Warren Buffett-style investors use. Annual numbers for 2025.

2/7Weak

MissReturn on equity 15%+Earns a lot on the money owners have in the business.-14.9%
PassDebt under half of equityNot relying on borrowed money.0.49x equity
MissNet margin 10%+Keeps at least 10 cents of profit from each dollar of sales.-5.8%
MissProfitable every yearSteady profits, not one good year.3 of 10 years
PassFree cash flow positiveBrings in more cash than it spends to run and grow.$73.7M
MissShare count not growingNot diluting owners. Falling means buybacks.+21.5% in 3 years
MissGross margin 40%+Pricing power: sells for well above what it costs to make.6.5%

Revenue: $2.1B; -14.9% vs prior year
5-year growth: +1.7%/yr; revenue, per year
Total debt: $374.5M; 0.49x equity
Current ratio: 1.94x; short-term assets / bills due

From annual reports filed with the SEC. A checklist is a starting point for research, not a verdict.