GEO GROUP INC · General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs

GEO

Low riskNext report: Around Nov 5 (est.)

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The short version

A profitable company with growing sales.

Going well

Sales up 15% in the latest quarter vs a year ago
Profitable every year for 10 years

Money moves

No insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
Institutions cut 0.9% from their holdings in the quarter ending June 2026 (149 bought, 128 sold)
Held by Ray Dalio (Bridgewater)

Facts from SEC filings, not a recommendation.

What the price means

Price as of Oct 26

$27.57+0.8% that day

Company value: $3.6B; Share price times all shares
Price vs profit (P/E): 12.9x; You pay about $13 for each $1 of yearly profit
Price vs sales: 1.3x; Company value is 1.3 times a year of sales
Cash vs value: 2%; Cash as a share of company value
Debt vs value: 46%; Debt as a share of company value

From GEO's last IEX trade and its SEC filings (profits and sales over the last four quarters). A starting point for research, not a verdict.

The business over time

Last 12 quarters, from SEC filings

Sales, Jun '26

$732.1M+15% vs a year earlier

Sep '23Tap a barJun '26

Last 12 months: $2.8B, up 15% from the 12 months before. Over 5 years, sales grew about 2.3% a year.

What the price assumes

Your guesses, our math

Move the sliders to your own view of GEO. Starting points are the company's recent numbers.

Sales growth+15% a yearRecently: +15% a yearProfit margin10%Last 12 months: 10.3%P/E at the end13xToday: 12.9x. Many steady companies trade at 12x to 25xShare count change+5% a yearBelow zero means buybacks; above zero means new shares (dilution)

Sales in 5 years$5.7B

Profit in 5 years$569M

Price these guesses point to$44.01+60% vs $27.57 todayAbout +9.8% a year, before dividends

What today's price needs: with a 10% margin and a 13x P/E, sales would have to grow about 4.7% a year for 5 years just to match today's price.

Simple math on your guesses, not a forecast or a price target. Real results depend on many things these sliders leave out.

Price

Price chart by TradingView.

Business quality

The checklist Warren Buffett-style investors use. Annual numbers for 2025.

2/6Weak

PassReturn on equity 15%+Earns a lot on the money owners have in the business.17.9%
MissDebt under half of equityNot relying on borrowed money.1.11x equity
MissNet margin 10%+Keeps at least 10 cents of profit from each dollar of sales.9.7%
PassProfitable every yearSteady profits, not one good year.10 of 10 years
MissFree cash flow positiveBrings in more cash than it spends to run and grow.-$124.9M
MissShare count not growingNot diluting owners. Falling means buybacks.+14.3% in 3 years

Revenue: $2.6B; +8.6% vs prior year
5-year growth: +2.3%/yr; revenue, per year
Total debt: $1.7B; 1.11x equity
Current ratio: 2.01x; short-term assets / bills due

From annual reports filed with the SEC. Not in this company's SEC data, so not scored: gross margin 40%+. A checklist is a starting point for research, not a verdict.