CONOCOPHILLIPS · Petroleum Refining

COP

Low riskNext report: Around Nov 5 (est.)

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The short version

A profitable company with growing sales.

Going well

Sales up 37% in the latest quarter vs a year ago
Profitable
Brings in more cash than it spends

Money moves

No insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
Institutions cut 1.5% from their holdings in the quarter ending June 2026 (1085 bought, 1206 sold)
Held by Ray Dalio (Bridgewater)

Facts from SEC filings, not a recommendation.

What the price means

Price as of Oct 26

$151.41+0.4% that day

Company value: $181.9B; Share price times all shares
Price vs profit (P/E): 20.0x; You pay about $20 for each $1 of yearly profit
Price vs sales: 2.9x; Company value is 2.9 times a year of sales
Dividend yield: 2.1%; Yearly dividend as a share of today's price
Cash vs value: 4%; Cash as a share of company value
Debt vs value: 12%; Debt as a share of company value

From COP's last IEX trade and its SEC filings (profits and sales over the last four quarters). A starting point for research, not a verdict.

The business over time

Last 12 quarters, from SEC filings

Sales, Jun '26

$19.2B+37% vs a year earlier

Sep '23Tap a barJun '26

Last 12 months: $63.3B, up 9.6% from the 12 months before. Over 5 years, sales grew about 26% a year.

What the price assumes

Your guesses, our math

Move the sliders to your own view of COP. Starting points are the company's recent numbers.

Sales growth+10% a yearRecently: +9.6% a yearProfit margin15%Last 12 months: 14.7%P/E at the end20xToday: 20.0x. Many steady companies trade at 12x to 25xShare count change-1% a yearBelow zero means buybacks; above zero means new shares (dilution)

Sales in 5 years$102.0B

Profit in 5 years$15.3B

Price these guesses point to$267.89+77% vs $151.41 todayAbout +12% a year, before dividends

What today's price needs: with a 15% margin and a 20x P/E, sales could shrink about 1.9% a year for 5 years and still match today's price.

Simple math on your guesses, not a forecast or a price target. Real results depend on many things these sliders leave out.

Price

Price chart by TradingView.

Business quality

The checklist Warren Buffett-style investors use. Annual numbers for 2025.

4/6Mixed

MissReturn on equity 15%+Earns a lot on the money owners have in the business.12.4%
PassDebt under half of equityNot relying on borrowed money.0.35x equity
PassNet margin 10%+Keeps at least 10 cents of profit from each dollar of sales.13.6%
MissProfitable every yearSteady profits, not one good year.7 of 10 years
PassFree cash flow positiveBrings in more cash than it spends to run and grow.$19.8B
PassShare count not growingNot diluting owners. Falling means buybacks.-1.9% in 3 years

Revenue: $58.9B; +7.7% vs prior year
5-year growth: +25.7%/yr; revenue, per year
Total debt: $22.4B; 0.35x equity
Current ratio: 1.30x; short-term assets / bills due

From annual reports filed with the SEC. Not in this company's SEC data, so not scored: gross margin 40%+. A checklist is a starting point for research, not a verdict.