Carlyle Group Inc. · Investment Advice

CG

Low riskNext report: In 2 days (est.)

View price ↗

The short version

A profitable company with shrinking sales.

Going well

Pays a 3.6% dividend yield
Profitable, keeps 17% of sales as profit

Watch out for

Revenue down 11.9% from the year before

Money moves

No insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
Institutions added 0.7% to their holdings in the quarter ending June 2026 (290 bought, 275 sold)
Held by George Soros (Soros Fund)

Facts from SEC filings, not a recommendation.

What the price means

Price as of Oct 26

$38.74+0.3% that day

Company value: $13.8B; Share price times all shares
Price vs profit (P/E): 40.4x; You pay about $40 for each $1 of yearly profit
Price vs sales: 3.8x; Company value is 3.8 times a year of sales
Dividend yield: 3.6%; Yearly dividend as a share of today's price
Cash vs value: 9%; Cash as a share of company value

From CG's last IEX trade and its SEC filings (profits and sales over the last four quarters). A starting point for research, not a verdict.

The business over time

Last 12 quarters, from SEC filings

Sales, Jun '26

$1.1B-29% vs a year earlier

Sep '23Tap a barJun '26

Last 12 months: $3.6B, down 42% from the 12 months before. Over 5 years, sales grew about 10% a year.

What the price assumes

Your guesses, our math

Move the sliders to your own view of CG. Starting points are the company's recent numbers.

Sales growth-10% a yearRecently: -42% a yearProfit margin10%Last 12 months: 10.1%P/E at the end40xToday: 40.4x. Many steady companies trade at 12x to 25xShare count change0% a yearBelow zero means buybacks; above zero means new shares (dilution)

Sales in 5 years$2.1B

Profit in 5 years$213M

Price these guesses point to$23.94-38% vs $38.74 todayAbout -9.2% a year, before dividends

What today's price needs: with a 10% margin and a 40x P/E, sales could shrink about 0.9% a year for 5 years and still match today's price.

Simple math on your guesses, not a forecast or a price target. Real results depend on many things these sliders leave out.

Price

Price chart by TradingView.

Business quality

The checklist Warren Buffett-style investors use. Annual numbers for 2025.

1/4Weak

PassNet margin 10%+Keeps at least 10 cents of profit from each dollar of sales.16.9%
MissProfitable every yearSteady profits, not one good year.9 of 10 years
MissFree cash flow positiveBrings in more cash than it spends to run and grow.-$3.4B
MissShare count not growingNot diluting owners. Falling means buybacks.+1.4% in 3 years

Revenue: $4.8B; -11.9% vs prior year
5-year growth: +10.2%/yr; revenue, per year
Free cash flow: -$3.4B; -70.6% of revenue

From annual reports filed with the SEC. Gross margin doesn't apply to banks and insurers, so it isn't scored. Not in this company's SEC data, so not scored: return on equity 15%+, debt under half of equity. A checklist is a starting point for research, not a verdict.